UNIVERSITY OF MADRAS
B.Sc. DEGREE COURSE IN STATISTICS
SEMESTER SYSTEM WITH CREDITS
(Effective from the Academic Year 2003-2004)

SYLLABUS

Semester V - Major VII - Time Series, Index Numbers and Official Statistics

UNIT - 1:

Time series - Concept - Components of time Series - Additive and multiplicative models - Measurement of trend - Moving average method - Least square method.

UNIT - 2:

Measurement of seasonal variations - Simple average method - Ratio to trend method - Ratio to moving average method - Link relative method - Variate Difference method.

UNIT - 3:

Index Numbers - uses, classification of index numbers - Problems in the construction of index numbers - Methods of constructing index numbers - Unweighted index numbers - weighted index numbers.

UNIT - 4:

Quantity index numbers - Fixed and chain base index numbers - Optimum test for index numbers - Time reversal test - factor reversal test - cost of living index numbers.

UNIT - 5:

Official Statistics: Statistical System in India CSO and NSSO and its functions - Present structure of the Indian statistical system - Functions of a statistical system - Agricultural statistics - Industrial statistics - Trade statistics - Labour statistics - transport and Communication statistics. Stajistical Heritage.

Books for Study:

Kapoor,V.K and Gupta,S.C (1978); Fundamentals of Applied statistics Suithan chand & Sons.

Saluja,M.R (1972): Indian official statistical systems: Statistical publishing society, Calcutta and The Indian Econometric Society, Hyderabad,

BOOKS FOR REFFERENCE: